Zimbabwe are now in a favorable position with four points from two matches and an excellent net run rate of +1.984. If they win, they will go six points straight to the next round and Australia’s campaign will be over. Australia, on the other hand, have just two points from three matches, so their hopes are entirely dependent on the results of other teams. Sri Lanka have already qualified with three wins and Oman are out.

However, if Ireland wins, the group will change completely. In that case, Zimbabwe will have four points and the importance of the Sri Lanka vs Zimbabwe match will increase. If Australia win their last match, they can also reach four points. The decision will then be made in the calculation of net run rate, which will make the situation even more dramatic.

Zimbabwe have a chance to make history – they have never made it to the Super Eight in their previous seven attempts. On the other hand, it is a life-and-death battle for Ireland, if they win, they will survive, if they lose, they will be eliminated. So this match in Colombo has practically become a stage to decide the fate of the three teams, where one result can change the whole picture.